The European tourism sector demonstrates a robust performance, surpassing pre-pandemic figures and showcasing resilience despite economic headwinds and geopolitical challenges.

In a press statement, the European Travel Commission (ETC) says that its latest report highlights a 6 pc rise in foreign arrivals over 2019 levels and a 7 pc increase in year-on-year growth. Overnight stays have also grown by 5 pc year-on-year, adding that the upward trend is driven by major events, improved air connectivity, especially from China, and lingering pent-up demand.

European Tourism Trends & Prospects Q3 2024 report offers insights into the dynamic performance of European tourism during the summer period and provides a comprehensive analysis of the region’s latest tourism and macroeconomic developments. While headline inflation in Europe has eased, services inflation remains elevated, affecting both tourism businesses and travellers.

Prices for international flights in the Euro Area declined in July and saw a slight increase in August, but inflation for accommodation and package holidays continued to surpass overall services inflation. As travellers become increasingly price-conscious, there is a notable shift toward value-driven travel experiences. Overall tourist expenditure across Europe is projected to rise by 10.3 pc in 2024 compared to 2023 and reach EUR 719.7 billion, with Western Europe accounting for 74 pc of this total.

“The performance of European tourism in 2024 underscores the sector’s resilience and enduring appeal despite economic pressures. Travellers continue to prioritise holidays, even in the face of rising costs, highlighting the essential role of travel in their lives. Following a busy summer, Europe is actively addressing capacity constraints in popular hotspots by redistributing visitors to more diverse destinations. We aim to alleviate the strain on overburdened areas and ensure that the economic benefits of tourism are shared more equitably. European tourism is not just about rebounding; we need to evolve to secure a sustainable future,” says Miguel Sanz, President, ETC.

Miguel Sanz

The statement adds that the Southern Mediterranean Europe was driving travel demand. It says that over half of reporting European destinations have exceeded 2019 levels of foreign arrivals, with nearly a third increasing over 10 pc. Southern Mediterranean destinations showed particularly strong performance, led by Serbia, that is up by 34 pc and Malta, up by 32 pc, both from a smaller base – followed by Portugal and Greece, each growing by 19. It says that despite a growth of 16 pc, Türkiye faces rising competition as budget-conscious travellers turn to other Mediterranean destinations due to increasing prices.

ETC says that the recovery is slowest in the Baltics, Finland, Romania, and Slovakia, where declines from 2019 levels range from 24 pc to 11 pc. However, year-on-year data in many countries within these sub-regions provides a promising outlook, suggesting that recovery is progressing, albeit at a slower pace than in other areas. Notably, Romania that grew by 12.8 pc, Latvia by 12.7 pc and Estonia with 10.7 pc have shown substantial  increases in foreign arrivals compared to 2023 levels.

Looking at the industry’s performance, European air travel demand rose by 3.4 pc over the summer months, despite disruptions like cybersecurity issues and strikes. Frequent air traffic disruptions over the summer involving a number of different European countries are likely to have dampened the recovery across the region. Recent statistics have reported that nearly 40 pc of passengers in Europe this summer experienced delays or cancellations.

ETC says that accommodation performance remains strong, with revenue per available room (RevPAR) in European hotels rising 5.9 pc year-on-year. Southern and Mediterranean destinations are experiencing the highest growth in daily rates, driven by robust demand despite rising prices. This pattern suggests that, while travellers are more budget-conscious, they are still willing to pay for higher-end experiences during peak travel seasons. Similarly, short-term rentals have surged by 11 pc as of August 2024 compared to 2023, particularly in France and Italy. This growth represents approximately 479,000 short-term rental units since August 2023.

The report also examines the growing concern of overcrowding, highlighting the uneven distribution of tourism flows across Europe. While the increase in tourism has positively influenced European economies, popular destinations are once again facing capacity constraints and environmental strain, particularly during peak seasons in 2024.

ETC says that in response to these continued challenges, some countries and cities have been implementing measures to become more resilient to the expected continued rise in tourist volumes. These measures aim to reduce the flow of tourists in concentrated areas, spread tourists out to other destinations across the country and maximise the value they receive from tourism.

In particular, efforts are being made to promote lesser-known destinations, with the aim of redistributing tourist flows and alleviating pressure on overcrowded hotspots. Recent data indicates that arrivals in emerging destinations are increasing, albeit from a smaller base. For instance, Albania has reported a noticeable uptick in visitor numbers, while cities like El Hierro and Sevilla in Spain are experiencing growth that outpaces established tourist destinations like Ibiza and Tenerife.